Utah Avalance Association · Aug 20 2021
How we perceive risk and make decisions can be subject to flawed thinking and dangerous biases, but this is only one small dimension of a much broader understanding of what constitutes expert performance in uncertain, changing environments.
This article will describe the conditions that makes snow safety difficult while drawing comparisons to highly skilled practice in other high risk/high consequence domains and then make a pitch for using this perspective to explore some useful avenues.
Looking into a field of practice and asking ‘what makes this hard?’ is a fundamental question for understanding what is means to be an expert in that kind of work. It’s a frame of reference that provides insights into the kinds of challenges faced by practitioners where simple proceduralization is not possible (or, desired).
In other words, how do experts cope when the data is ambiguous, analysis remains uncertain, and rules are underspecified, insufficient or, inapplicable?
ResearchGate